My turning point was NFL playoffs last year. I remember seeing public money pouring in on the Bills like they already had the Super Bowl ring, but the line barely moved — suspicious. I backed the underdog just because of how skewed the public numbers were, and it hit. After that, I got more systematic about it. I don’t just fade the public for fun — I look at betting splits, line movement, injury reports, and where the sharp money’s going. There’s actually a solid breakdown of the logic behind all this and how to make sense of the signals here: https://www.techbursters.com/betting...st-the-public/. That’s what I use when I want a second opinion on how “off” the line feels. The main takeaway for me is: the public overreacts — to wins, to stars, to narratives. Books know it. So if 80% of people are riding one side and the book doesn’t budge or even moves the other way, that’s not a coincidence.